Tuesday, August 09, 2005



Progressive List

The Progressives have released their party list. It's difficult to talk about significant changes in a party which has only two MPs, but as with United Future there has been a lot of turnover. The most striking feature is the list's diversity; the Progressives seem to be campaigning as the party which reaches out to ethnic minorities and newer New Zealanders - witness Matt Robson's advocacy on immigration issues and defence of the Iraqis defamed by Winston Peters - and so there are candidates from the Tongan, Cambodian and Bangladeshi communities in the top ten. However, there's not much in the way of Maori representation, and the natural placement of the Progressives' experienced former MPs in the top slots means the diversity doesn't kick in until further down the list, and the candidates are highly unlikely to be elected. Even if the Progressives make their target of doubling their list vote, they will still only get three or four (or maybe possibly five) MPs.

As with Labour, I've done a comparison showing candidate's relative placements with last time.

2005 RankName2002 RankDifference
1Jim Anderton10
2Matt Robson20
3Grant Gillon30
4Dr Megan Woods----
5John Wright4-1
6Sione Fonua----
7Vivienne Shepherd18+11
8Meng Ly80
9Dr Fatima Ashrafi----
10Barry Wilson----
11Fale Leleisiuao----
12Dr Russell Franklin20+8
13Paula Gillon----
14Phil Clearwater11-3
15Trevor Barnard19+4
16Raghbir Singh----
17Brenda Hill----
18Fiona Beazley----
19Russell Caldwell----
20David Reeks----
21John Maurice----
22Mohammad Kazemi-Yazdi----
23Heka Taefu----
24Veronique (Ronnie) Stewart-Ward----
25Zemin (Ted) Zhang----

Further candidate details can be found by following the links here.

5 comments:

Is Anderton even assured of winning Wigram - has there been any polling of late? My hunch is that if Labour would run a stronger candidate than Mike Mora we might see the end of the progressives.

Posted by dc_red : 8/10/2005 07:42:00 AM

Yeah, but would Labour actually want that?

In a tight election, its in their interests to keep Jim in and contributing MPs to their side of the house.

Posted by Idiot/Savant : 8/10/2005 11:50:00 AM

There is talk of a three way split in Wigram. Clearly a left wing electorate, Jim's popularity is waning and the left vote will be severely split betwen him and Mora. So the electorate could go to Mike Mora, Alison Lomax or Jim Anderton. One to watch.

Posted by Anonymous : 8/10/2005 01:47:00 PM

JPA's majority was about 10,000 in 1999, down to 3000 in 2002 i think. I agree with IS though - Labour would be quite keen for a bit of overhang action to bolster their side.

Posted by Span : 8/10/2005 02:12:00 PM

For Labours sake they need Jim. He is loyal and you always know what his position is going to be. That's a sign of an excellent coalition partner. The Nats have yet to learn such skills.

Posted by Just my opinion : 8/12/2005 02:12:00 AM